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November 2023 | PHOENIX MSA MARKET UPDATES

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Phoenix, Arizona: A Thriving Hub of Opportunity and Growth

Nestled in the heart of the desert, Phoenix, Arizona, has become a vibrant and dynamic city, attracting attention for its robust job market, exponential population growth, and flourishing economic landscape. In recent years, the city has evolved into a coveted destination, making it an alluring hub for professionals, innovators, and entrepreneurs. 

Phoenix Arizona Cacti on a mountain
A Magnet for Migration and Innovation  

Phoenix has become a magnet for individuals and families seeking new beginnings. A recent report by the Phoenix Business Journal emphasizes the city’s allure as a prime relocation choice. Data from the American Community Survey reported that Arizona added about 282,729 residents migrating from other states between 2021 and 2022. That is the fourth largest migration in the United States, after Florida, Texas, and North Carolina.  

California emerged as the leading source of new residents for Arizona, with 74,157 individuals relocating. Despite 27,412 Arizonans moving to California, Arizona still experienced a net gain of 46,745 from the Golden State. The influx of newcomers can be attributed to the city’s exceptional job market and enviable quality of life, enticing people from across the nation to call Phoenix home. 

Technological Advancements and Economic Momentum  

Innovation and technology are the driving forces behind Phoenix’s economic surge. Recognized by CommercialCafe as one of the most innovative metros in artificial intelligence and machine learning, the city is experiencing a profound technological renaissance. Surging into the ranks of the top 25 most innovative metros in the United States is a testament to Phoenix’s strides, notably attributed to the issuance of 185 patents in AI technologies within the Phoenix MSA. 

Such technological advancements not only foster job creation but also serve as catalysts for robust economic expansion, propelling Phoenix into the global spotlight as a frontrunner in cutting-edge technology and fostering a climate ripe for entrepreneurial endeavors. This innovation-driven ecosystem is poised to attract and nurture talent, fueling the city’s reputation as a pioneering force in technological innovation on a global scale. 

Arizona’s Ascendancy as a Global Innovation Hub  

The valley has officially emerged as a frontrunner in global innovation. This appeal is due to a blend of factors including a favorable business climate, a skilled workforce, top-notch educational institutions, modern infrastructure, and substantial high-tech investments from global companies. In the last few years, many major international companies have made significant investments in the state of Arizona – specifically in the semiconductor industry. 

Downtown Phoenix Skyscrapers

According to the Arizona Commerce Authority, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) invested in a $12 billion Phoenix semiconductor fab in 2020. In 2021, Intel announced it would build 2 semiconductor fabs in Phoenix, spending a total of $20 billion on the expansion and creating 3,000 jobs. In 2022, TSMC invested an additional $40 billion into semiconductor manufacturing in the valley, which resulted in 4,500 jobs being created. Lastly, in 2023, LG Energy Solutions invested $5.5 billion in a battery manufacturing plant in Queen Creek, creating thousands of jobs in the process.  

The state’s efforts in international trade and investment facilitated its robust economic growth, recording $40.73 billion in investment and 24,246 new jobs created in fiscal year 2023, marking a record-breaking year for economic expansion. Arizona’s strategy involves leveraging its strengths, including high-tech investments, public-private partnerships, and initiatives focusing on academia and industries, to continue attracting global businesses, further enhancing the state’s economy for the foreseeable future. 

Old Town Scottsdale
Sustained Economic Growth and Job Creation  

Forecasts from the state Office of Economic Opportunity underscore Phoenix’s sustained economic growth, especially when it comes to creating new jobs. The city’s remarkable trajectory is set to add jobs at a rate far surpassing the national average. Arizona is expected to add jobs at nearly 5 times the rate of the rest of the United States, an estimated 477,968 jobs by 2032.  

What’s driving this job growth rate in the Valley? The answer is the aging population. With a demographic shift as more individuals turn 65, the need for healthcare and social assistance roles is expected to rise substantially. Specifically, the report forecasts an additional 64,470 jobs in medical offices, clinics, surgery centers, hospital departments, and nursing homes by 2032, displaying an annualized growth rate of 2.9%. 

Doug Walls, the agency’s labor market information director, states, “Health care and social assistance has been one of the strongest, most consistent industries in terms of employment growth over the last several decades, and that’s only likely to continue.” Maricopa County is anticipated to gain the lion’s share of new jobs, totaling 394,411 positions by 2032, despite currently holding about 62% of the state’s population. 

It’s clear that the state’s growing senior population and booming healthcare industry continues to lay a robust foundation for sustained economic prosperity and job growth. 

Diverse Industries Fueling Economic Expansion  

The city’s economic prowess extends across various industries. A Chamber Business News report emphasizes the positive economic impact of Arizona’s sports industry, illuminating its role in job creation, tourism, and overall economic growth.  

When reviewing past sport events in the valley, the report by the Arizona Chamber Foundation and Rounds Consulting Group concludes that the Cactus League, Phoenix Open, and past Super Bowls have generated between $180 million and $1.3 billion in economic impact per event. The report states, “While larger scale sports events like the Super Bowl provide substantial economic benefits to the state, the sum of the mid-tier and smaller annual sports events will also display very large economic impacts,”. When looking at medium-scale events such as the NCAA Championship, these events had an economic impact ranging from $67 million to $324.5 million. 

Chase Fields downtown Phoenix

Comparing sports events to high-wage manufacturing firms, the report emphasizes their economic equivalence, demonstrating the vast economic benefits they bring. Beyond tourism and local spending, industries like sports medicine, health technology, sports gambling, and philanthropy also stand to gain significantly from a thriving sports industry. 

Arizona’s leadership in sports events and tourism prompts a concerted effort from both public and private sectors to leverage this advantage for economic growth. The report serves as a catalyst for future strategies to bolster the state’s sports industry, attracting investments and benefiting taxpayers. 

Sporting events are not the only industry contributing to the economic expansion of the valley. A study by dtphx.org showcases Downtown Phoenix’s substantial economic activity, highlighting its pivotal role in generating economic output, attracting investments, and fostering job opportunities.  

Since 2005, Downtown Phoenix has grown with the help of $8 billion in investments, leading to a significant economic and cultural evolution in the area. Comparing findings to the 2018 study, Downtown Phoenix witnessed substantial growth. It accommodated thousands of new residents and students, diversified its job market, and emerged as a dynamic biotech hub. 

The Churchill Downtown Phoenix

The 2022 economic impact report states that Downtown Phoenix has an economic impact of $21.2 billion, marking an 11% increase from $19.1 billion in 2018. This impact is equivalent to 50,000 manufacturing jobs. Downtown also experienced $8.6 billion in personal income and $635.1 million in state and local taxes. Increased tourism, substantial event attendance at various venues, and burgeoning construction activities contributed significantly to economic growth.  

Future projections for the Downtown Phoenix Inc. service area include an anticipated 10.6% employment increase over the next five years, the addition of over 260,000 square feet of retail space, and the construction of approximately 3,900 new residential units, tripling the area’s population since 2009. 

Mike Ebert, managing partner of RED Development and Downtown Phoenix Inc.’s board chair, emphasized the need to sustain policies that have driven Downtown’s success, including strategic business initiatives, university partnerships, retail expansion, and innovative approaches to housing. 

In conclusion, Phoenix, Arizona, stands as a testament to resilience, innovation, and growth. Its thriving job market, exponential population surge, and diverse economic landscape paint a vivid picture of a city poised for continued success. By embracing technological advancements, welcoming a diverse workforce, and nurturing an environment conducive to innovation and economic prosperity, Phoenix continues to be a leading example of a dynamic city in the United States. 

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